For You: How the Election Could Unfold: Four Scenarios

Plus, Israeli or Palestinian, U.S. Voters in the West Bank Say Biden Let Them Down

November 5, 2024, 4:49 p.m. Eastern time News you may have missed Israeli or Palestinian, U.S. Voters in the West Bank Say Biden Let Them Down Contraband Whiskey and a Secret Royal Dinner: Wall Street Goes to Riyadh For Biden Officials, Lebanon May Be a Problem Too Big to Solve Israeli Strikes Target Syria for a Second Day in a Row Clues to a Trump or Harris Victory Could Emerge Early. Here's What to Look For. Go to homepage Guest Essays From Opinion Jon Meacham I'm a Presidential Historian. This Is My Biggest Regret About Trump. I used to think of Trump as a dangerous but recognizable demagogue. Now I see him as a genuine aberration in our history — and a unique threat to the nation. Matthew Schmitz Win or Lose, Trump Has Already Won On trade and immigration, he can claim a remarkable degree of vindication. Michelle Cottle and Taylor Maggiacomo Reading the Auras of Democrats and Republicans on the Eve of the Election There was one moment in this election where the vibes actually shifted, and you probably can guess what it was. Mitchell Duneier Springsteen Is Fighting Back the Darkness at the Edge of America His music offers a model of how we all might just get through this. Matthew Yglesias Why Isn't Trump Running Away With This? Voters hate inflation — Democrats should be breathing a sigh of relief to be heading into a coin-flip election. Tomorrow: From Personal Profiles Every day we'll feature stories from a different section. Check back daily. Based on your saved places Receive updates on the places you care about. Add up to five cities or towns, and related coverage will appear here. Enter a city or town Select places More to discover How the Election Could Unfold: Four Scenarios A look at plausible outcomes that might wind up seeming obvious in hindsight. Tiny Homes Face the Ax in Hong Kong, Leaving Many Families Worried The government says the city's smallest apartments need more regulation. For some of Hong Kong's poorest, that could mean higher rents or even eviction. In a Record, All but Two U.S. States Are in Drought Little rain has fallen since Hurricane Helene dropped huge amounts across the Southeast. Quincy Jones, Giant of American Music, Dies at 91 As a producer, he made the best-selling album of all time, Michael Jackson's "Thriller." He was also a prolific arranger and composer of film music. Britain's Queen Camilla Cancels Royal Engagements Because of Illness Buckingham Palace said Camilla, 77, was unwell with a chest infection and had been advised to rest. At Din Tai Fung, the Hunt for Delicate Dumplings Is Hit or Miss The worldwide chain is famed for precision-engineered xiao long bao, but the ones in New York are less than reliable. Sorry, Mom. I'm Skipping Your Turkey Dinner for a Solo Vacation. Seeking self-care and a respite from the pressures of the season, more Americans are viewing the holidays as a perfect time to take a trip on their own. New York Times Tech Workers Go on Strike The Times Tech Guild represents more than 600 software developers and others who run the back-end systems behind The Times's digital operation. Take a break, play a game The Mini Crossword Solve this bite-sized puzzle in just a few minutes. Spelling Bee How many words can you make with 7 letters? Wordle Guess the 5-letter word with 6 chances. See all our games Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for For You from The New York Times. To stop receiving For You, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

4 scenarios for election night

These plausible outcomes might seem obvious in hindsight.

View in browser|nytimes.com November 5, 2024 The 2024 election is close and deeply uncertain. One reason? On paper, neither side ought to win. Nonetheless, one candidate is going to be elected president. Emily Elconin for The New York Times Here are four scenarios for what could happen. → MORE COVERAGE Get updates and analysis from our reporters. → How does the Electoral College work? The New York Times for Kids breaks it down. → Declaring a winner may take time, but early results could hold clues. → Here's when polls close in each state. → Sign up for the On Politics newsletter. Your guide through Election Day and beyond, with the latest race results, expert analysis and key takeaways. Get it in your inbox Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this message because you signed up for updates from The New York Times. To stop receiving From The Times, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

Opinion Today: Your guide to the election

Coverage to guide you through the day (and night).

View in browser|nytimes.com November 5, 2024 By Patrick Healy Mr. Healy is the deputy Opinion editor. It's Election Day in America, and my Times Opinion colleagues and I are in the same boat as a whole lot of voters. "I've never covered a presidential campaign like this one where I had no certainty at this stage of who is up and who is down," writes the Opinion columnist David Brooks in a round-table conversation this morning. He is joined by colleagues Ross Douthat, Michelle Goldberg and Tressie McMillan Cottom in exploring what this election is all about and what America might look like under a Trump or Harris presidency. They offer some predictions, too, and a road map of what to watch for Tuesday night (Michigan and North Carolina, but also Virginia, Ohio and Indiana). One big question is whether so-called late-deciding voters — who pick candidates at the last minute, often based on feelings and mood — will break in favor of Kamala Harris or Donald Trump. For our final Opinion focus group before the election, we spoke to 15 late-deciding voters from Pennsylvania, Georgia and other swing states about why they ended up preferring a candidate and who they think will win. Trump also comes in for a reassessment from the Pulitzer Prize-winning biographer Jon Meacham, who writes about his biggest regret regarding the former president, and the Opinion contributing writer Megan Stack delves into how she voted early for Harris while the horrors of Gaza weighed on her conscience. Starting at 6 p.m., we hope you'll come to nytimes.com for Opinion's live commentary about the election results: Our columnists, editorial board writers and other colleagues will have a live chat through the night about the swing state results, the winners and losers in Senate and House races, the undecided contests and what we're learning about the country, and the columnists Ezra Klein and Ross Douthat will have a two-way conversation about the election and America's future. Read Opinion's coverage: David Brooks, Ross Douthat, Michelle Goldberg and Tressie McMillan Cottom 'I Will Be Thrilled to Be Wrong': Four Columnists Brace for Election Night Who will win the presidency, House and Senate? What is the election about? And what happens next for America? By David Brooks, Ross Douthat, Michelle Goldberg and Tressie McMillan Cottom Why These 15 Late-Deciding Swing State Voters Give the Edge to Harris The group discussed Kamala Harris and Donald Trump on the edge of the 2024 election. By Patrick Healy, Adrian J. Rivera and Frank Luntz Guest Essay I'm a Presidential Historian. This Is My Biggest Regret About Trump. I used to think of Trump as a dangerous but recognizable demagogue. Now I see him as a genuine aberration in our history — and a unique threat to the nation. By Jon Meacham Guest Essay I Voted for Harris but Gaza's Horrors Weigh on My Conscience The Biden administration bears responsibility for the mass murder and starvation of Palestinian civilians. By Megan K. Stack Here's what we're focusing on today: Editors' Picks Guest Essay These are the Latino Voters Who Could Sway This Election This multiracial and multiethnic demographic could transform American politics. By Yael Martínez More From Opinion Election Day Is Long. Give Us Five Minutes to Help You Get Through It. A guided meditation to help you get through Election Day. By Eliza Barclay Jamelle Bouie Don't Let Trump Make America Into an Image of Himself We cannot become what he wants us to be. By Jamelle Bouie The Anti-Anxiety Election Day Menu Is the uncertainty of the election making your stomach growl? Try these quick, mildly comforting recipes! By Walter Green The Opinions Have Election Anxiety? These Five Minutes Can Help. A short meditation to get you through Election Day. 9 MIN LISTEN Guest Essay Advice From a Psychotherapist on How to Cope Today The unknown is the most difficult thing for the brain to navigate. By Gary Greenberg The Shady Gimmick Behind Elon Musk's Million-Dollar Game No, those "winners" weren't random. By Farah Stockman Mayor of America's 'Blackest City' Still Worried About Black Male Voters If Obama made no difference in their lives, many say, why would Harris? By Charles M. Blow Paul Krugman Why Trump's Supporters Should Also Be Wary if He Returns to Power If autocracy comes to America, don't assume it'll be soft. By Paul Krugman Michelle Goldberg We've Been Underestimating the Scale of Women's Fury If Trump loses on Tuesday, we'll know why. By Michelle Goldberg Quincy Jones's Half-Century of Unforgettable Music His originality crossed a wide range of genres. By Brent Staples We hope you've enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. Subscribe to The New York Times. Games Here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle and Spelling Bee. If you're in the mood to play more, find all our games here. Forward this newsletter to friends to share ideas and perspectives that will help inform their lives. They can sign up here. Do you have feedback? Email us at opiniontoday@nytimes.com. If you have questions about your Times account, delivery problems or other issues, visit our Help Page or contact The Times. Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for the Opinion Today newsletter from The New York Times. To stop receiving Opinion Today, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018