Wednesday, August 7, 2024

Opinion Today: What sort of V.P. pick is Tim Walz?

Words like "moderate" and "progressive" may be more a question of vibes.
Opinion Today

August 7, 2024

Author Headshot

By Kristen Soltis Anderson

Ms. Anderson, a contributing Opinion writer, is a Republican pollster and a moderator of Opinion's series of focus groups.

I wrote yesterday about the fluidity of political ideology and why pollsters don't typically expect the groups they survey to have the same number of conservatives and liberals each time. The words we use to describe someone's ideology — like "moderate" and "progressive" — are very loosely defined. Republicans, for instance, have spent a lot of energy in the past decade and a half fighting over what "true conservatism" really means.

Kamala Harris's selection of Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota as her running mate has made me think even more about the way we talk about ideology. Since the announcement, he has been described as dangerously liberal by adversaries and as a progressive who doesn't come across as threatening by supporters. There seems to be consensus that Walz is more left than center-left and that his selection has headed off a potential left-wing backlash at the pass, allowing Harris to avoid any of the turmoil that choosing Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania might have caused.

Count me as a firm believer that vice-presidential nominees do not, in general, make much of a difference. But if the main argument the Trump campaign decides to pursue against Harris is that she is too far to the left of the average American voter, the selection of the preferred choice of many online progressives would seem to reinforce a potential vulnerability.

At the same time, I'm not certain Americans think of ideology purely in policy terms. Consider the former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley, someone I would argue is ideologically quite conservative but nevertheless was often tagged as a moderate during her run for the Republican presidential nomination. I think what we were seeing there is that "moderate" can also be used to describe a temperament.

The Trump campaign and its allies have been circulating a clip of Walz declaring, "One person's socialism is another person's neighborliness." It would be hard to construct a more perfect Rorschach test for whether people perceive the idea of a moderate to be about a defined set of ideas or about, in the parlance of our times, vibes.

Read Opinion's coverage of the Walz pick and the campaign:

A photo of Tim Walz in a baseball cap and wearing a tan jacket.

Guest Essay

Why Tim Walz Will Be a Potent Weapon for Kamala Harris

He is of a vanishing political breed: the heartland left populist.

By Ross Barkan

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Guest Essay

How Trump and Black Lives Matter Combined to Change American Politics

While liberals moved decisively leftward from 2012 to 2020, a counter phenomenon was taking place on the right.

By Thomas B. Edsall

Tim Walz speaking at a lectern with a large American flag in the background.

Guest Essay

Democrats Have Needed Someone Like Tim Walz for Decades

The Minnesota governor fills a decades-long geographic messaging gap for Democrats.

By Sarah Smarsh

Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, in a baseball cap, speaks at a podium in front of a large American flag.

Guest Essay

Tim Walz Could Take It to the House

Football unifies America. Tim Walz can, too.

By Howard Wolfson

A black and white photo of Kamala Harris is decorated with orange dots and blue stars.

Guest Essay

What the Polls Say About Harris That the Trump Team Doesn't Like

If a major change on the Democratic ticket fires up progressives, it wouldn't be unusual to see a slightly higher number of progressive likely voters.

By Kristen Soltis Anderson

Here's what we're focusing on today:

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