Opinion Today: How the election may shape up, in graphs

A look at how we got here — and what's still to come.

View in browser|nytimes.com November 2, 2024 New York Times Opinion By Quoctrung Bui Deputy Editor, Opinion Graphics As a member of the Times Opinion graphics department, I share the privilege of presenting complex ideas and arguments visually to our readers. Sometimes it's difficult — the story is too abstract or there is too little data to work with. This presidential election is the opposite kind of story — a story so materially complicated and so rich with data that it practically calls out to be made sense of through a visual medium. To break down the paths to victory for Kamala Harris, Donald Trump and (earlier this year) President Biden, for example, we made several Electoral College interactives with the Democratic strategist Doug Sosnik. In 2020, President Biden won by an extremely narrow margin in key swing states — less than 45,000 votes, according to some estimates — so we worked with the Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini to explore the microcommunities that could decide the election. With political ad spending at historic levels this cycle, my graphics colleague Gus Wezerek showed us how Democrats dominated the airwaves in his unique analysis of 3.5 million political TV ads that aired this fall. Finally, we explored the gender gap in this election, which may end up being the largest of any presidential contest. As the pollsters Celinda Lake and Amanda Iovino argue, this gender gap is being driven largely by education — with college-educated women on one side and non-college-educated men on the other. We hope you will join us for much more analysis as Election Day unfolds. THE ELECTION, THROUGH DATA Why Trump Has a More Plausible Path to the Presidency, in 19 Maps A Democratic strategist explains how a deadlocked presidential race may play out in the Electoral College. By Doug Sosnik Forget Swing States. It's These 21 Microcommunities That Could Decide the Election. A look at the political microcommunities that could decide the 2024 presidential election. By Patrick Ruffini Democrats Won the Ad War. Will It Be Enough? Here's what we learned after analyzing 3.7 million election ads. By Gus Wezerek A Democratic and a Republican Pollster Agree: This Is the Fault Line That Decides the Election How college-educated women and non-college-educated men are defining the contours of the 2024 presidential election. By Celinda Lake and Amanda Iovino THE WEEK IN BIG IDEAS Damon Winter/The New York Times Guest Essay Anita Hill: The Smearing of Kamala Harris The insults hurled at Ms. Harris are a reminder of how Republican senators tried to shame me when I challenged Clarence Thomas's fitness. By Anita Hill For Day of the Dead, a Burst of Flowers to Honor the Departed During the Day of the Dead, the cempasúchil, or marigold, is believed to guide spirits back home. In Mexico City, people who lost a loved one to Covid use the flower to honor their dead. By César Martínez Barba Mike Osborne for The New York Times Guest Essay Climate Change Should Make You Rethink Homeownership Renting is quickly becoming a better way for many people to enjoy high-risk places with much less financial baggage. By Benjamin Keys Patricia Voulgaris Guest Essay You Might Consider Praying It's what can we do when we don't know what to do. By Sara Sherbill Illustration by Owen Gent. Guest Essay The Myth of the Mad Artist Is Harmful. I Should Know. The presumption of emotional instability has made it not easier but more difficult for artists to be forthright about our mental health. By Jonathan Biss We hope you've enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. Subscribe to The New York Times. Games Here are today's Mini Crossword, Wordle and Spelling Bee. If you're in the mood to play more, find all our games here. Forward this newsletter to friends to share ideas and perspectives that will help inform their lives. They can sign up here. Do you have feedback? Email us at opiniontoday@nytimes.com. If you have questions about your Times account, delivery problems or other issues, visit our Help Page or contact The Times. Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for the Opinion Today newsletter from The New York Times. To stop receiving Opinion Today, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

Superyacht’s most striking feature made it vulnerable to capsizing, investigation finds

A Times investigation focused on technical documents and computer models.

View in browser|nytimes.com November 2, 2024 What made a $40 million superyacht owned by the tech mogul Michael Lynch capsize? A Times investigation found that the vessel's most striking feature made it vulnerable to being knocked over. The New York Times See our investigation. → Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this message because you signed up for updates from The New York Times. To stop receiving From The Times, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

For You: Trump Assails Liz Cheney and Imagines Guns ‘Shooting at Her’

Plus, Working-Class Voters Are Pivotal. Both Candidates Are Vying for Their Support.

November 1, 2024, 4:39 p.m. Eastern time News you may have missed Working-Class Voters Are Pivotal. Both Candidates Are Vying for Their Support. As Russia Advances, U.S. Fears Ukraine Has Entered a Grim Phase Trump Is Courting Apolitical Young Men. Will It Pay Off? Botswana Voters Hand Governing Party a Stunning Rebuke Why There's Hope for U.S. Factory Towns Laid Low by the 'China Shock' Go to homepage Things To Do This 41-Year-Old Chicken Is Still Going Strong Craig Claiborne's smothered chicken is a New York Times Cooking classic, simple to make and ready for improvisations. Three Great Documentaries to Stream This month's picks include a portrait of an artist, a haunting music performance piece and a chilling missing-persons tale. Five Science Fiction Movies to Stream Now This month's picks include a time-travel thriller with Dylan O'Brien and a dystopian comedy with Awkwafina and John Cena. 7 New Books We Recommend This Week Suggested reading from critics and editors at The New York Times. Peanut Butter Walks Into a Chocolate Cookie Bar And the result is a rich, fudgy-centered treat that's somewhere between a cookie and a brownie. Tomorrow: From Style Every day we'll feature stories from a different section. Check back daily. Based on your saved places Receive updates on the places you care about. Add up to five cities or towns, and related coverage will appear here. Enter a city or town Select places More to discover Trump Assails Liz Cheney and Imagines Guns 'Shooting at Her' Vice President Kamala Harris said that anyone who uses "that kind of violent rhetoric is clearly disqualified, and unqualified, to be president." How Wagner's Ruthless Image Crumbled in Mali The Russian mercenary group operated with little pushback in the West African nation — until it launched one of its most ambitious missions. Elite School Will Provide Counselors for Students Distressed by Election Attendance on Wednesday, or whatever day the results are announced, is optional for high school students at the Ethical Culture Fieldston School in New York City, families were told. How Heidi Klum Transformed Into E.T. for Halloween The model and television host dressed as the alien from Steven Spielberg's 1982 film for her annual New York City costume party. In Los Angeles, They Wanted a House for Their Growing Family. Which Neighborhood Was Right? As newcomers to the city, a doctor and a D.J. weren't sure they'd have enough to afford a house for themselves and their two young sons. Here's what they found. What to Know About Spain's Devastating Floods At least 205 people were killed after the downpour, which some residents said was the worst they had ever witnessed. Opinion | What the Weak Jobs Report Tells Us It doesn't mean we're on the edge of a recession. Somewhere Amid the Frappuccinos, Fans Say Starbucks Lost Something Customers are turning away from the coffee giant, and its new chief executive, Brian Niccol, has to figure out how to get them back. Take a break, play a game The Mini Crossword Solve this bite-sized puzzle in just a few minutes. Spelling Bee How many words can you make with 7 letters? Wordle Guess the 5-letter word with 6 chances. See all our games Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for For You from The New York Times. To stop receiving For You, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018